Architecture Risks¶
Intelligence becomes unsafe when a policy-dependent recommendation is presented as an objective property of a candidate or as authority to act.
| Risk | Consequence | Control |
|---|---|---|
| Score reification | A composite score is treated as intrinsic truth | Bind every score to metric definitions, weights, cohort, evidence, and policy |
| Cohort instability | Rank changes because candidates were added or removed | Fingerprint the comparison set and report ranking stability |
| Hidden threshold drift | Policy changes alter recommendations without visible review | Version thresholds and retain policy identity in outputs |
| Correlated evidence | Repeated or dependent evidence is counted as independent support | Preserve sources, overlap, and triangulation limits |
| Contradiction suppression | Favorable evidence dominates because adverse evidence is summarized away | Run contradiction, falsifier, and skeptical-review passes before recommendation |
| Confidence inflation | Model confidence is confused with evidence adequacy | Audit overconfidence, underconfidence, spread, and evidence gates separately |
| Explanation laundering | Fluent rationale hides missing provenance or unresolved questions | Require report contracts and source-linked reasons |
| Automation bias | Advisory output is executed without accountable promotion | Keep advisory mode as default and require named policy promotion |
| Outcome leakage | Later outcomes are allowed to rewrite the historical decision basis | Append learning records and preserve the original snapshot |
flowchart LR
E[Evidence snapshot] --> P[Declared policy]
P --> R[Recommendation]
E --> C[Contradictions and falsifiers]
C --> R
R --> A{Advisory or enforced?}
A -->|advisory| H[Human review]
A -->|enforced| G[Named promotion record]
A sophisticated ranking is still bounded decision support. Review quality depends on seeing where the result is sensitive, conflicted, incomplete, or contingent—not only why the leading candidate scored well.
Require an explicit promotion record¶
Advisory output becomes enforceable only through a separate authority decision. The promotion record must retain:
- the exact recommendation, evidence snapshot, candidate cohort, and policy;
- the action surface, scope, and consumers covered by enforcement;
- the accountable promoter and the authority under which they act;
- every prerequisite, stop condition, review interval, and expiry;
- the monitored failure, contradiction, drift, and consequence signals;
- rollback or suspension behavior that does not erase actions already taken.
Promotion cannot repair a refused evidence gate, unstable candidate universe, or absent Lab readiness decision. When those inputs change, enforcement returns to review against a new recommendation record instead of inheriting authority from the earlier promotion.